50 is a coin flip. Higher means a creator's past calls beat chance on the assets and periods they were made in; lower means they did worse.
A high score does not predict the next call. We tested whether it does, and it does not. We publish the ranking because the record should exist and be checkable. Our scoring is not financial advice and the method behind it is not published.
yucky — well below luck. This does not predict their next call. We tested whether it does and it does not. Our scoring is not financial advice.
Most coveredUSD/JPY 21 →Nikkei 225 21 →US equities (S&P 500 / Nasdaq / Dow) 15 →
[Rising rate-hike expectations] FRB rate-hike expectations and rising concerns over the Middle East situation are also yen-negative factors, but speculators' yen-buying positions expected to keep expanding【Weekly Dollar-Yen Forecast 2026/9/14～】
【Tailwind for the Nikkei Average】Will the buying in semiconductor-related stocks that led in the US market spread to Japan too!? The after-hours rise is material for judging a bottom【Weekly Japanese Stock Forecast 2026/9/7～】
【Japanese stocks are still weak】US stocks trying to return to a strong run, and the Japanese market where a correction may still continue — the dollar-yen's sharp fall has paused, but it's hard to judge whether it has bottomed out【Today's market review 26/9/4 (Fri)】
[WTI and Long-Term Interest Rates] Be Wary of Upward Pressure From the Middle East Situation and Indicators, Downward Pressure on the Stock Market and Upward Pressure on the Dollar-Yen [Today's Market Review 26/9/1 (Tue)]
[WTI and Long-Term Interest Rates] Be Wary of Upward Pressure From the Middle East Situation and Indicators, Downward Pressure on the Stock Market and Upward Pressure on the Dollar-Yen [Today's Market Review 26/9/1 (Tue)]
[WTI and Long-Term Interest Rates] Be Wary of Upward Pressure From the Middle East Situation and Indicators, Downward Pressure on the Stock Market and Upward Pressure on the Dollar-Yen [Today's Market Review 26/9/1 (Tue)]
[Alert for Tech Selling] Strong hyperscalers and weak semiconductor stocks — even within tech stocks, strength and weakness diverge [Weekly Japanese Stock Forecast, from 2026/8/31]
[No yen-strengthening factors in sight] Warsh's remarks that went further on the Fed's monetary policy, and rising expectations of an early rate hike [Weekly dollar-yen forecast 2026/8/31–]
日本市場は上昇推移が続くが過熱感が高まり始めており、短期的な調整を警戒したいシグナルが出始めている
日本株は割安感が高まり上昇方向への転換シグナル発生で強い予想
米ハイテク株は雇用統計の結果を受けて上昇、金利低下が好材料
ダウは最高値を更新し強い展開が続く
米市場は堅調推移、3指数は堅調な推移へ戻ろうとしている
高すぎる信用倍率で急落の危険性が高まり、日本株は調整相場を警戒
為替介入による急落を受け、続落と転換シグナルを警戒したい（ドル円下落方向）
アドバンテストが引け後に発表した決算が好調で、これが明日の上昇材料になることを期待
米市場は下落の勢いが強すぎ、中東情勢懸念とFRBの利上げ観測を売り材料に強い調整に入る懸念
【Advantest's strong earnings】Hoping for a rise in Japanese stocks tomorrow, but even with this good news, the schedule and market environment that don't allow complacency 【Shii-san's Tore-Otsu broadcast 26/7/29 (Wed)】
キオクシアはストップ安となったが、さすがにこれは売られすぎだと思う（＝反発余地）
日本の貿易収支悪化懸念は円安材料
ハイテク株への売りはまだ続いてしまうかもしれない
A dangerous correction in the SOX index is flagged as a key forecast point.
Selling in the tech sector is likely to continue, with sector performance diverging.
Heightened Middle East tension is expected to push WTI prices higher.
Rising WTI prices are pushing interest rates higher.
Middle East tension impact is seen as short-term and limited; tech stocks are being bought back and holding firm.
Selling pressure is spreading beyond the tech sector to other sectors, a worrying development.
TOPIX remains steady and its uptrend is expected to continue amid sector rotation.
Major US tech stocks are expected to remain resilient despite tech-decline concerns.
Nasdaq is resilient and holds firm even when correcting.
Despite tech selling, all three major US indices are holding firm.
Fed rate-hike expectations are pushing US long-term yields higher.
Growth 250 has shown a bottom, with strong buyback flows.
Falling WTI prices are pushing US long-term yields lower.
【Decline Slowing】The returning buying stance of foreign investors and month-end rebalancing; forecast to be no more than a short-term correction 【Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/6/29～】
【Decline Slowing】The returning buying stance of foreign investors and month-end rebalancing; forecast to be no more than a short-term correction 【Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/6/29～】
The 3,000-point drop is likely a one-off position adjustment ahead of end-June; the market is not in total-pessimism mode and is not expected to keep falling.
Equity market declines drove risk-off yen strength (USD/JPY lower).
[Is a Turnaround Impossible?] Expectations of a Fed Rate Hike Within the Year and a Resilient U.S. Economy; the BOJ's Rate Hikes Can't Keep Up [Weekly Dollar-Yen Forecast 2026/6/22～]
止まらない米長期金利の上昇 — asserts US long-term interest rates continue to rise, pressuring equities
順調な上昇が続く米市場
うまくすれば上昇相場に戻れそうな値動きで期待感が高まります — price action suggests the Nikkei can return to an uptrend
ハイテク株への売りが続く展開 — selling in US tech stocks continues as overheating cools
【Selling Dominant】Kioxia hits limit-up yet the index falls, small caps bought but a selling stance spreads across the whole market 【Today's market review 26/5/18 (Mon)】
【Downside risk】Heightened tensions in the Middle East and currency intervention — the causes are completely different, but watch out for declines in both stocks and FX! 【Shii-san's Tore-otsu broadcast 26/5/18 (Mon)】
【Selling Dominant】Kioxia hits limit-up yet the index falls, small caps bought but a selling stance spreads across the whole market 【Today's market review 26/5/18 (Mon)】
短期転換シグナルが発生、一旦は調整が起こってしまいそう — a short-term reversal signal has appeared; a correction toward the 60,000 yen battle line is likely this week
Nikkei average tops 62,000 yen! Coming back from the holidays with Japanese stocks soaring, major progress in the Middle East situation!! [Shii-san's Tore-otsu stream 26/5/6 (Wed)]
米10年債利回りはダブルトップ形成で低下に向かう可能性
Buying Back Into US Tech Stocks? The Forecast Is That the Decline Stalls Here for Now. After That It Depends on the Market's Reaction to Earnings [Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream 26/4/29 (Wed)]
Selling emerges in tech stocks! Even so the Nikkei hangs on, and TOPIX rose as if chasing after it【Today's market recap 26/4/28 (Tue)】
Breaking through 60,000 yen and a further rise — the precondition is the opening of the Strait of Hormuz [Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/4/20–]
A Short-Term Correction? The Bad News Wasn't That Bad, and the Rotation of Sector Strength and Weakness Continues; the Middle East Situation Requires Caution [Today's Market Review 26/4/17 (Fri)]
US Earnings Announcements Are Far Too Strong — It's Risen Too Much, but Selling Is Scary Too?! For Today's Indicators, Watch the Strength and Weakness of Business Sentiment [Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream 26/4/16 (Thu)]
Upside is heavy, but the rotation in the strength and weakness of Japanese stocks gave hope 【Today's market recap 26/4/15 (Wed)】
The Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz Continues! A Question Mark Over the Implementation of the Two-Week Ceasefire Agreement Between America and Iran?! [Today's Market Review 26/4/9 (Thu)]
Breaks through 160 yen! After a correction, the next milestone is 162 yen; worst-case scenario 164 yen!? [Weekly dollar-yen forecast 2026/3/30～]
Tomorrow morning, when the 48-hour time limit arrives, is the real deal!? Beware of one more stage of risk aversion!! [Today's market review 26/3/23 (Mon)]
Breaking below 50,000!? A chain decline toward a Nikkei average of 48,000 yen? Two stages of decline to watch out for as the Middle East situation worsens [Weekly Japanese stock forecast 2026/3/23–]
A firm showing, but I want to hold off on judging that a major bottom has formed — the short-term reversal signal still isn't out [Today's Market Review 26/3/17 (Tue)]
The Continuing Rise in WTI Prices and the Weak Yen — Even So, Intervention Seems Difficult? [Today's Market Review 26/3/13 (Fri)]
Is risk-off over!? It feels like wishful thinking, but WTI prices are falling 【Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream 26/3/10 (Tue)】
Isn't It Going to Fall Further!? That Said, the News Could Be Read as Either Optimistic or Pessimistic 【Shii-san's Trade-Otsu Stream 26/3/9 (Mon)】
Massive crash! Japanese stocks sold off in tandem with the rise in WTI prices, and the US dollar that changed — is this correction not over yet!? [Today's Market Review 26/3/9 (Mon)]
An undeniable next plunge and FX intervention! With a change in the quality of risk aversion, there's even a chance of a bottom!? [Today's Market Review 26/3/6 (Fri)]
[USD/JPY] Will the unconstitutionality ruling on Trump's tariffs accelerate dollar weakness? The risk scenario of "breaking below 152 yen" amid tense Middle East conditions [Weekly USD/JPY Forecast, from 2026/2/23]
【Today's market recap】A strongly weak yen, Advantest, and US economic indicators are today's key points!【26/2/19 (Thu)】
【Today's market recap】The terror of investment going into reverse! The bad news is the Middle East, Blue Owl, and Monday's Japanese holiday?【26/2/20 (Fri)】
【Today's market recap】The dollar-yen market enters a battle over whether it will rebound! Heading into a fight over the Bollinger band middle line【26/2/18 (Wed)】
【Today's Market Recap】Watch out for the short-term reversal signal! On guard for a fairly strong short-term correction in TOPIX — has a similar rebound signal appeared in dollar-yen too!?【26/2/16 (Mon)】
【Today's market recap】The correction tone in Japanese stocks continued after all; whether the strong yen continues depends on tonight's US indicators!?【26/2/16 (Mon)】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Breaking through 57,000 yen! Is the next target "60,000 yen"!? Selling in US tech stocks to be wary of【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/2/16～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Breaking through 57,000 yen! Is the next target "60,000 yen"!? Selling in US tech stocks to be wary of【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/2/16～】
[URGENT ANALYSIS] Tech stocks dumped! Anthropic's "Legal" shock and the risk of a SaaS collapse? [Shii-san's Investment Knowledge Explainer]
【Today's market recap】Two dangers! Currency intervention and continued selling of tech stocks. The next currency intervention will come without warning, and the Anthropic shock won't stop either...【26/2/5 (Thu)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] High-Tech Stocks Fall on Anthropic's New AI Tool Announcement! What Gets Sold and What Gains? [26/2/4 (Wed)]
【Today's market recap】Why were tech stocks sold off? Game-change concerns from an AI tool out of America【26/2/4 (Wed)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Risk Aversion as the Middle East Situation Grows Tense! Yet the Stock Market Rises Anyway — Is Risk Aversion for Now Nothing but a Reason to Buy!? [26/1/29 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Risk Aversion as the Middle East Situation Grows Tense! Yet the Stock Market Rises Anyway — Is Risk Aversion for Now Nothing but a Reason to Buy!? [26/1/29 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] U.S. After-Hours Rises Too, Giving a Technical Reversal Signal; Tonight's Economic Indicators Don't Look Likely to Be Bad News, So U.S. Stocks Look Set to Keep Rising [26/1/22 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Nikkei Average Corrects for Now, but U.S. After-Hours Is Already Rebounding!? Is There a Chance the Risk-Off Market Is Already Over? [26/1/15 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Nikkei Average Corrects for Now, but U.S. After-Hours Is Already Rebounding!? Is There a Chance the Risk-Off Market Is Already Over? [26/1/15 (Thu)]
【Today's market recap】There's still no signal of a decline in Japanese stocks, but watch for a correction from the week's overheating; the dollar-yen is showing signs of a short-term correction【26/1/14 (Wed)】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Tuesday's rise may also drag in the unwinding of short selling! With the material of a possible lower house dissolution at the opening of the ordinary Diet session convened on the 23rd, the rise may well continue further【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/1/12～】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Is Today's Drop SQ-Related!? After-Hours Futures Began Rebounding the Moment the Session Closed! No Strange Price Moves in Dollar-Yen Either — Could the Correction Be Short-Term? [26/1/8 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The First Trading Session of 2026 Rises Sharply! Can the Market Withstand the Sense of Overheating!? The Matter of My Own Holdings Rising Weakly and Having Nothing to Do With Overheating [26/1/5 (Mon)]
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Firm outlook for US economic indicators — if they match market expectations, will that be a selling factor for tech stocks!?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/1/5～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Firm outlook for US economic indicators — if they match market expectations, will that be a selling factor for tech stocks!?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2026/1/5～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】The battle over the Nikkei average's 50,000 yen! Following the drop in US tech stocks, SoftBank Group heads for a fall of over 5%. The contest is whether the drop in US tech stocks was confined to Friday or continues into the week【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/12/15～】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Will the Important Economic Indicators Released in the U.S., the ADP Employment Report and the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, Strengthen Expectations for a Fed Rate Cut!? Predicted to Be a Straightforward Yen-Strengthening Factor for Dollar-Yen [25/12/3 (Wed)]
【Today's Market Recap】The Nikkei Average and TOPIX rejected a big continued decline — is the correction within the normal range, with a rebound coming at an early timing!? A tough development for Growth 250. Has dollar-yen priced in a rate hike in a single trading day?【25/12/2 (Tue)】
【Today's market recap】Selling on profit-taking and expectations of a BOJ rate hike! The BOJ's rate hike was within expectations, but the start-of-week decline is right at the limit of the range; the dollar-yen is pushed down, but I don't think it's enough to change the market picture【25/12/1 (Mon)】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】TOPIX renews its record high, the Nikkei average aims for 52,000 yen!! Though greatly outperforming US stocks is difficult, we forecast a development of rising in sympathy with US stocks【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/12/1～】
【Today's Market Recap】No abnormal situation worth talking about in the Japanese market on the holiday; the after-hours rise in the US market is also a positive. FX moved slightly toward a weaker yen, but within the range of a technical rebound and as expected【25/11/24 (Mon)】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】The decline continues with technical rebounds interspersed; we forecast a difference will emerge between the Nikkei average and TOPIX in the range of movement and the strength of the fall! For US stocks, the contest is whether they break below the 100-day simple moving average【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/11/24～】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] This Is Bad… Contrary to Saturday's Forecast, Stocks Look Like They Could Still Rise!? Reversal Signals Are Starting to Appear in U.S. Stocks — Will the Rise and Yen Weakness Continue Unless There's a Plunge on an Indicator Release? [25/11/12 (Wed)]
【Today's market recap】Selling came out in SoftBank Group and the Nikkei average's upside is heavy, but buying has the upper hand in the market overall! The situation where stocks with good earnings easily attract buying continues, and there are signs of a rise in US stocks too【25/11/12 (Wed)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Too Early for a Bottom!? TOPIX Is Quite Resilient, but the Short-Term Reversal Signal Hasn't Emerged in U.S. Stocks [25/11/6 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Too Early for a Bottom!? TOPIX Is Quite Resilient, but the Short-Term Reversal Signal Hasn't Emerged in U.S. Stocks [25/11/6 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Too Early for a Bottom!? TOPIX Is Quite Resilient, but the Short-Term Reversal Signal Hasn't Emerged in U.S. Stocks [25/11/6 (Thu)]
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Will the US employment report be postponed again this time? But there's a strong chance the ADP employment report will supplement it!! Even so, will a prolonged US government shutdown become a factor for a major market correction!?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/11/3～】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Isn't This Move Toward Yen Weakness Far Too Strong!? A Plus for Japanese Stocks, but Extreme Yen Weakness Turns Into Bad News All at Once in a Risk-Off [25/10/30 (Thu)]
【Today's market recap】The verbal intervention on the currency was there after all! Watch out for a double top forming amid a fairly strong yen! The Nikkei average's futures decline is slowing, but beware of the strong yen being seen as bad news【25/10/28 (Tue)】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Breaking through 50,000 yen on the Nikkei average is within range!! Also be wary of a massive crash should risk-aversion arise from President Trump【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/10/27～】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Unstoppable Rise in Dollar-Yen! Risk Aversion Doesn't Appear to Have Set In and Gold Stops Falling Too; Resource Prices Rise on the Trump Administration's Sanctions Against Russia [25/10/23 (Thu)]
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] The Unstoppable Rise in Dollar-Yen! Risk Aversion Doesn't Appear to Have Set In and Gold Stops Falling Too; Resource Prices Rise on the Trump Administration's Sanctions Against Russia [25/10/23 (Thu)]
【Today's Market Recap】Gains narrowed as the news was fully priced in; from here it seems to depend on US stocks, but those US stocks are quite firm! Still, my forecast is for it to turn slightly soft from here【25/10/21 (Tue)】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】A rise to as much as 50,000 yen with the birth of the Takaichi premiership!? US risk-aversion is also a positive factor! But is that as far as the rise goes, with heavy upside?【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/10/20～】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Will the Market's Rise Continue Further!? These Days It Feels Like the Scenery I Once Saw Before a Collapse — Change Stocks and Methods? The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Is Skipped [25/10/16 (Thu)]
【Today's market recap】Japanese stocks and the dollar-yen are falling knives!! Is the US government shutdown priced in? The correction is progressing more than expected. US stocks still have plenty of room to fall【25/10/1 (Wed)】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Will Forex Try to Break Above the Range!? Strong Yen Weakness Is Underway — Within the Forecast Range but at a Different Timing Than Expected! [25/9/24 (Wed)]
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Is there a change in overseas investors' buying stance!? There are no signs of a plunge, but be wary of a development where the upside grows heavy at high levels!【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/22～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Is there a change in overseas investors' buying stance!? There are no signs of a plunge, but be wary of a development where the upside grows heavy at high levels!【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/22～】
[Shii-san's Tore-Otsu Stream] Japan Is Closed but Indicators Are Released in the U.S. — Tonight the New York Fed Manufacturing Index Comes Out!! The Market Forecast Sees a Slowdown From Last Time; Will Falling U.S. Long-Term Rates Bring Higher U.S. Stocks and a Stronger Yen!? [25/9/15 (Mon)]
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Japan's economic indicators turn into bad news; be wary of short-term profit-taking. If there's a plunge risk, it's a BOJ rate hike!? But we forecast the possibility is low【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/15～】
【Nikkei average・TOPIX】Japan's economic indicators turn into bad news; be wary of short-term profit-taking. If there's a plunge risk, it's a BOJ rate hike!? But we forecast the possibility is low【Weekly Japanese stock forecast, 2025/9/15～】
【Dow, Nasdaq, S&P500】Is a slight worsening in retail sales within the acceptable range!? If there is a pullback risk, it's remarks from Fed Chair Powell being reluctant about rate cuts 【Weekly US stock forecast 2025/9/15~】
【Dow, Nasdaq, S&P500】Is a slight worsening in retail sales within the acceptable range!? If there is a pullback risk, it's remarks from Fed Chair Powell being reluctant about rate cuts 【Weekly US stock forecast 2025/9/15~】
【Dow, Nasdaq, S&P500】Is a slight worsening in retail sales within the acceptable range!? If there is a pullback risk, it's remarks from Fed Chair Powell being reluctant about rate cuts 【Weekly US stock forecast 2025/9/15~】
